Working Paper
Dec 30, 2024
6
Minutes read

Searching for the ‘Poor’ and the ‘Middle-Class’ in Malaysia

Author
Gregory Ho Wai Son
Senior Research Associate
Gregory Ho Wai Son
Senior Research Associate
Co - Author
Dr Suraya Ismail
Dr Suraya Ismail
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Key Takeaway
Data Overview
Current approaches to classifying the poor or the middle class through income orexpenditure patterns utilize a predetermined standard of living to arrive at demarcationlines in the household income distribution, either in absolute or relative terms.
* This paper presents an alternative by developing an Expenditure-Space model to generatedemarcations based on actual expenditure patterns. Our prognosis is that the relatednessof products consumed reveals household classifications from ‘poor’ to‘middle/aspirational’ class through their revealed preferences.
* By characterizing expenditure from ‘common’ to ‘complex’ items and leveraging pathdependence, we trace households' consumption growth from necessities to complex goodsand services.
* Applying this model to Malaysia, we find significant deviations from existing policyclassifications—Bottom 40 (B40), Middle 40 (M40), and Top 20 (T20). Our findingspropose new demarcations: B20, M50, and T30, with only the T30 group reflecting themiddle class's standard of living
searching-for-the-poor-and-the-middle-class-in-malaysia
Working Paper
A work-in-progress paper to encourage further discussion on a topic.

This working paper refines and updates the Expenditure-Space model, first introduced in 2019, to provide a more robust framework for analyzing Malaysian household classifications. By leveraging updated data, it challenges the long-standing B40, M40, and T20 demarcations, revealing significant discrepancies with Malaysia’s actual economic stratification.

Our findings demonstrate greater consistency over a decade which show that the top 30% (T30) exhibit middle-class spending patterns, while the middle 50% (M50) remain economically vulnerable, experiencing trade-offs between essential and aspirational expenditures. The bottom 20% (B20) continue to focus on fulfilling basic needs, such as food, housing, and clothing.

This refined perspective highlights the need for more accurate classifications aligned with real consumption patterns. By enhancing the Expenditure-Space model, this paper provides policymakers and researchers with a new framework for addressing vulnerabilities and improving living standards.

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